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BMC Nephrology

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match BMC Nephrology's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease in China, 1990-2021: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Wang, M.; Zhao, T.; Wang, H.; Hou, S.; Fu, Y.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355056 medRxiv
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Introduction: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) in China in 2021 and its trends between 1990 and 2021, in the context of significant population growth and lifestyle changes over the past 30 years that have likely influenced the CKD spectrum. Methods: Data on CKD prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated decadal percentage changes were calculated to evaluate changes in trends in prevalence, mortality and disease burden. Results: In 2021, an estimated 118.4 (95% UI 109.4 to 127.5) million people in China were affected by CKD, contributing to 204 230 (95% UI 164 736 to 246 372) deaths and 6.13 (95% UI 5.18 to 7.21) million DALY. Although CKD due to diabetes mellitus and hypertension accounted for less than a quarter of all cases, they were responsible for over 90% of CKD-related deaths. Over the past three decades, CKD mortality and DALY rates have steadily increased, although the prevalence has stabilized in the last decade. Diabetes mellitus type 2 and hypertension have emerged as key drivers of CKD burden in China. Conclusions: The CKD burden in China shows a dual pattern of rising incidence and high mortality from diabetes and hypertension-related chronic kidney disease, alongside persistently high years lived with disability from glomerulonephritis and other causes.

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Albuminuria Changes as a surrogate endpoint in Apolipoprotein L1 Mediated Kidney Disease in Vanderbilt BioVU and the Million Veteran Program

Mamak, F.; Yu, Z.; Triozzi, J. L.; Corty, R.; Wheless, L.; Wang, G.; Giri, A.; Chen, H. C.; Wilson, O. W.; Bick, A. G.; Gaziano, J. M.; Tao, R.; Hung, A. M.

2026-06-08 nephrology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354945 medRxiv
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Importance: Recently, proteinuria has been accepted as a surrogate end point for clinical trials in focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) ang IgA nephropathy. However, proteinuria has not been evaluated in Apolipoprotein L1 (APOL1)-mediated kidney disease (AMKD). Methods: Real world data (RWD) analysis of 128 patients of African ancestry with APOL1 high risk genotypes, without diabetes, enrolled in the Million Veteran Program (MVP; n=109) or the biorepository at Vanderbilt University (BioVU; n=19), who had urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) >= 420 mg/g (PCR~0.9 g/g) with a concurrent GFR value. The main predictor was change in the log-UACR at 12 months. The primary outcome was annual GFR slope over 24 months. Secondary outcomes included a kidney composite of a sustained 30% GFR decline, end stage kidney disease (ESKD) or death and ESKD as a single outcome. Linear regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the effect of changes in UACR and the outcomes. Results: In the pooled analysis the mean age was 56.8 (SD 15.5) y, 116 were male (90.6%) and three patients had diagnosis of FSGS at baseline. Mean baseline eGFR was 46.8 (SD 16.1) mL/min/1.73m2, mean baseline UACR was 1240.8 (1107.7) mg/g, mean eGFR slope was -4.67[-6.00, -3.33] mL/min/1.73m2/year and the geometric mean percentage changes in the UACR at 12 months were -57.5% [-65.0%, -48.4%]. For every 1 unit of log (UACR) increment at 12 months, the annual eGFR slope decreased by -1.80 [-2.56, -1.03] mL/min/1.73m2 in the pooled analysis. For every 1 unit of log (UACR) increment at 12 months, the Cox regression showed a 61% increase in the risk of a kidney composite (p=0.002) and a 98% increase in the risk of ESKD (p<0.001). It was estimated that a 50% reduction of UACR at 12 months was associated with a 28% reduction in the kidney composite endpoint (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI]:0.59-0.88; p=0.002), and a 38% reduction in the risk of ESKD (aHR=0.62; 95% CI:0.49-0.80; p<0.001). Conclusions and relevance: Changes in UACR at 12 months significantly modify the rate of decline of GFR over 24 months and clinically meaningful endpoints, supporting the use of UACR changes as surrogate endpoint in AMKD.

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Development of iADJUST: a theory-informed, patient co-designed digital psychological intervention for adjustment in chronic kidney disease

Schmill, P.; Hudson, J.; Greenwood, S.; Chilcot, J.

2026-06-11 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355356 medRxiv
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Background: Psychological distress is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with reduced quality of life, treatment non-adherence, and worse clinical outcomes. Distress in CKD is also linked to difficulties adjusting to the demands of illness management. Despite this, psychological support remains inconsistently integrated within kidney care pathways, and existing interventions often lack clear theoretical specification and explicit targeting of mechanisms underpinning adjustment to CKD. Objectives: To describe the systematic development of iADJUST, a theory-informed patient co-designed digital psychological intervention targeting key cognitive and behavioural mechanisms involved in adjustment to CKD. Methods: Intervention development was guided by the Medical Research Council framework for complex interventions. A structured, iterative process integrated empirical evidence, psychological theory, and patient and public involvement and engagement. The Common-Sense Model of Self-Regulation and cognitive behavioural theories informed the identification of modifiable maintaining mechanisms associated with adjustment to CKD. Intervention components were mapped onto these mechanisms and refined through co-design with people living with CKD. Results: iADJUST is a six-session self-guided digital psychological intervention delivered over 12 weeks and supplemented by therapist contact. The intervention targets illness-related uncertainty, fatigue-related activity dysregulation, catastrophic what-if thinking, self-critical evaluation, and behavioural withdrawal. It integrates psychoeducation, cognitive and behavioural strategies, maintenance planning, and elements from acceptance and commitment therapy and compassion-focused approaches. Content is delivered through video, audio, and guided tasks and activities. Conclusion: iADJUST provides a theory-informed, evidence-based psychological intervention for CKD explicitly mapping intervention components to maintaining cognitive and behavioural mechanisms implicated in adjustment. Feasibility evaluation is underway.

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Quantifying associations of genotype, proteinuria and eGFR with long-term kidney outcomes in Alport Syndrome using data from the UK National Registry of Rare Kidney Diseases (RaDaR).

Wong, K.; Pitcher, D.; Masoud, S.; Tzoumkas, K.; Branson, A.; Oates, T.; Gear, S.; Russell, H.; RaDaR consortium, ; Francke, K.; Inan-Eroglu, E.; Abdelgawwad, K.; Liu, S.; Dasmahaptra, P.; Lin, J.; Mercer, A.; Hendry, B.; Lennon, R.; Turner, A. N.; Gale, D. P.

2026-06-09 nephrology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355110 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Alport Syndrome (AS), caused by pathogenic variants in type IV collagen genes COL4A3/4/5, is a leading monogenic cause of Kidney Failure (KF). Clinical course varies widely, and disease specific predictors of progression relevant to clinical care and trial design remain incompletely defined. Methods In this retrospective cohort study of individuals with AS in the UK National Registry of Rare Kidney Diseases, patients were classified as having AS or heterozygous genotypes and followed to assess proteinuria progression, eGFR slope and kidney survival. Proteinuria and eGFR trajectories were analysed using mixed effects regression models; kidney survival using Kaplan Meier analysis. Results Among 1032 participants (median follow up 11.6 years; 47% female), 475 (46%) had AS genotypes (Male XLAS or autosomal recessive AS). eGFR decline accelerated with advancing CKD stage across all genotypes (p<0.001). Proteinuria increased as eGFR declined and occurred earlier in AS genotypes. After reaching proteinuria thresholds of more than 1.0 and 3.0g/g, kidney survival over the subsequent 5 years did not differ significantly between genotypes (logrank p=0.14, p=0.17, respectively), although modest differences emerged over longer follow-up. Across eGFR thresholds (90, 60, and 45mL/min/1.73m2), higher proteinuria was associated with shorter time to KF; for example, at eGFR 45mL/min/1.73m2, median time to KF was 3.0 years (IQR, 1.6-5.4) for above-median vs 6.5 years (5.1-not estimable) for below-median proteinuria (p<0.0001). Almost all patients who reached KF had developed proteinuria of more than 0.3g/g. Conclusion In this national cohort, eGFR decline accelerated with CKD stage and proteinuria was strongly associated with progression to KF across genotypes. The non linearity of eGFR decline may inform its interpretation in clinical practice and use as a trial endpoint. Once comparable proteinuria levels were reached, differences in outcomes by genotype were attenuated, supporting proteinuria as a key prognostic marker and strengthening rationale for its use as a surrogate endpoint in AS clinical trials

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Association between depressive symptoms and physical function among participants with heart disease in the Reasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study.

Fasokun, M. E.; Safford, M. M.; Khodneva, Y.; Colantonio, L. D.; Goyal, P.; Alanaeme, C. J.; Hanif, A. A. M.; Enogela, E. M.; Bowling, C. B.; Levitan, E. B.

2026-06-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355319 medRxiv
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Background: Depression and heart disease frequently co-occur in the aging population and are associated with functional decline and poor health outcomes. Understanding how depressive symptoms relate to different aspects of physical function among adults with heart disease may help identify high-risk subgroups. Objective: To examine the association of depressive symptoms with self-reported and observed physical function measures among participants with heart disease in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study and assess whether associations differ by sex and race?sex groups. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis using data from REGARDS study second in-home visit (2013?2016). Depressive symptoms were measured with the 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale (CES D 10), considering scores ?10 as clinically significant. Physical function measures were instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), activities of daily living (ADL), chair stand time (5 repetitions), and gait speed. Linear regression models estimated associations of depressive symptoms with function, adjusting for sociodemographic, health behavior, antidepressant medications, body mass index, and social support. Effect modification by sex and race?sex group was evaluated. Results: Among 3,055 participants, 11.7% had CES D 10 ?10. Compared to CES-D-10 scores <10, CES D 10 ?10 was associated with more limitations in IADL (1.84 points; 95% CI 1.62, 2.06), ADL (0.43 points; 95% CI 0.34, 0.52) and slower chair stand time (0.88 second; 95% CI 0.07, 1.69); associations with gait speed were modest (?0.04 meters/second; 95% CI ?0.08, -0.01). Women had a stronger association between CES-D-10 and ADL (0.49 points; 95% CI 0.35, 0.64) than men (0.33 points; 95% CI 0.21, 0.44; p for interaction = 0.01). Interaction between CES D 10 and race?sex groups was not statistically significant. Conclusions: Among adults with heart disease, clinically significant depressive symptoms were associated with lower physical function, particularly among women.

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Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Among US Adults, 1999-2023: National Trends and Projections Through 2050

Fu, F.; Wei, A.; Wang, G.; Fang, S.; Chen, J.; Liu, W.; Liu, H.; Gao, X.; Lei, Y.; Guo, N.; Chen, M.; Yu, J.; Wang, Y.; Li, S.; Mao, Y.; Yan, L.

2026-06-10 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355220 medRxiv
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Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.

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Recovery Trends Show Greater Quadriceps Weakness After Patellar Tendon Versus Hamstring Autografts in ACL Reconstruction

Wilebski, B.; Bond, C. W.; Noonan, B. C.

2026-06-10 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355177 medRxiv
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Context: Although knee extensor and flexor strength deficits are well-documented after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction, limited data exist characterizing how strength recovery evolves over time. Understanding the temporal patterns of recovery, and how they differ by autograft type, is critical for optimizing rehabilitation and return-to-sport decision-making. Objective: To characterize temporal trends in knee extensor and flexor strength recovery during the first year post-ACLR and evaluate differences between patellar tendon and hamstring tendon autografts. Design: Case series. Setting: Sports physical therapy clinics within a large health system. Participants: Five hundred three patients (17.8 {+/-} 3.0 y) who underwent primary reconstruction with either patellar tendon or hamstring tendon autografts and completed a combined 730 return-to-sport tests within 12 months postoperatively. Main Outcome Measures: Normalized peak isokinetic concentric knee extension and flexion torques for involved and uninvolved limbs, and normalized symmetry indices for knee extension and flexion strength. Results: Knee extension strength on both limbs and extension strength symmetry improved over time. Patients with hamstring autografts demonstrated superior involved leg knee extension strength and better extension strength symmetry compared with those receiving patellar tendon autografts, although uninvolved leg strength was similar between autografts. Knee flexion strength on both limbs and flexion strength symmetry also improved over time. Patellar tendon autograft patients exhibited greater strength symmetry, despite no between autografts for flexion strength for the involved or uninvolved limb. Conclusions: Autograft significantly influences muscle strength recovery following anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction. Hamstring tendon autografts are associated with superior recovery of knee extension strength and strength symmetry compared to patellar tendon autografts. These findings underscore the need for graft-specific rehabilitation strategies and earlier identification of patients at risk for delayed recovery.

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Dementia and Frailty Impact Postoperative Care Trajectories and Burden among Older Adults Undergoing Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer

Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.

2026-06-06 urology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354768 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [&ge;] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [&ge;] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.

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Integrated cardiometabolic and nutritional risk profiling identifies pregnancy loss as a marker of systemic metabolic vulnerability

Agarwal, T.; Namburu, J. R.; Kachroo, P.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354910 medRxiv
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Background: Pregnancy loss has important implications for womens health. Although maternal age is a well-established risk factor, the contribution of routinely measured cardiometabolic and behavioral markers at population-scale remains incompletely characterized. Objective: To examine associations between cardiometabolic, nutritional, and behavioral risk markers and pregnancy loss among U.S. women of reproductive age. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 4,842 U.S. women aged 20-44 years with [&ge;]1 pregnancy using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data (2013-2023). Pregnancy loss was defined as [&ge;]1 prior miscarriages. Exposures included body mass index, smoking exposure (cotinine), lipid biomarkers, vitamin D and folate, and a composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk score. Survey-weighted logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals, with bootstrap resampling for predictor robustness. Results: The weighted prevalence of pregnancy loss was 23%. Higher odds of pregnancy loss were associated with increasing age (aOR per year=1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), Non-Hispanic Black race (aOR=1.32; 95% CI: 1.00-1.74), overweight (aOR=1.56; 95% CI: 1.16-2.11), obesity (aOR=2.06; 95% CI: 1.39-3.05), and smoking (aOR=1.58; 95% CI: 1.19-2.10). Adverse lipid profiles, particularly elevated triglycerides (aOR=1.83; 95% CI: 1.16-2.90) and high low-density lipoprotein (aOR=2.97; 95% CI: 1.45-6.61), were independently associated with pregnancy loss. Vitamin D/folate were not stable predictors. Higher composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk scores were observed among women with pregnancy loss (P=0.026). Conclusion: Pregnancy loss clustered with adverse cardiometabolic and behavioral risk markers in a nationally representative population. These findings highlight pregnancy loss as a marker of broader metabolic vulnerability supporting the need for longitudinal studies and cardiometabolic profiling to inform preconception care and risk stratification.

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Physical activity, fatty acids, and MASLD risk: Behavioural and metabolic factors jointly shaping liver health in populations

Chen, F.; You, R.; Liu, Y.; Yin, Y.; Liu, A.; Deng, L.; Xie, B.; Fan, J.; Wang, W.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354982 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: MASLD has become the most prevalent chronic liver disease globally. Although MVPA and plasma fatty acids have been individually studied in relation to metabolic health, their independent and combined associations with MASLD incidence remain unclear. We aimed to investigate these associations. Methods: This study included 51,717 UK Biobank participants free of liver disease at baseline, with MVPA measured using wrist-worn accelerometers and plasma fatty acids quantified via NMR. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models and restricted cubic splines were used. Results: Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, 472 incident cases were identified. In fully adjusted models, meeting recommended MVPA levels together with higher n-6 PUFA concentrations was associated with a 71% lower risk (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.18-0.45). The MVPA-MASLD association was nonlinear, with risk reduction plateauing at approximately 189 minutes per week. Higher n-6 PUFA was associated with reduced risk, whereas n-3 PUFA showed no significant association. Conclusions: These findings suggest that behavioral and metabolic factors may jointly influence MASLD risk. Further studies in diverse populations are needed to confirm these associations.

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Watching the FIFA World Cup and Adult Sleep Quality: A Cross-Sectional Online Survey

Aljamaan, F.; Alanteet, A. A.; Chaiah, Y.; Dasuqi, S. A.; Alarabi, M. A.; Saeed, E.; Al-khatib, S. M.; Darweesh, A. A.; Raina, M.; Saad, K.; Alhasan, K.; BaHammam, A. S.; Temsah, M.-H.

2026-06-08 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355072 medRxiv
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Major international sporting events frequently impose exogenous demands that challenge adult circadian rhythms, often leading to the misalignment of sleep-wake cycles and social schedules. This cross-sectional study investigated the impact of the FIFA 2022 World Cup on adult sleep patterns to assess the prevalence and determinants of tournament-associated circadian disruption. Through an online survey, we captured data on sleep duration, timing, and subjective quality from a diverse adult population using Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) score. The results indicate that 81.3% had high problematic sleep according to PSQI scores, while only 9% perceived that their sleep pattern was impacted by watching matches during the tournament. While 83.7% of the participants had low or mild anxiety according to GAD-7 scores, we found that GAD-7 scores correlated significantly with PSQI scores. Married participants had significantly lower PSQI scores (RR 0.856, p = .005), while those who reported that their sleep hours had changed during the tournament had significantly higher PSQI scores (1.180, P-value <0.001). Males reported a significantly high impact of the tournament on their sleep (OR 2.622, P-value <0.001). In conclusion, our data demonstrate a discrepancy between self-perception of sleep quality and self-rated assessment by PSQI scores, as well as the substantial impact of major international sporting events on adult sleep hygiene. The results provide data-driven insights helpful in evaluating potential circadian risks and informing public health strategies for major sporting events such as the FIFA world cup.

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Neighborhood socioeconomic status associated with post-stroke cognitive impairment: a retrospective cohort study

Siegel, M.; Corlin, L.; Miller, J.; Cote, K.; Leung, L. Y.

2026-06-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355320 medRxiv
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Background: Late complications after stroke (LCAS), including cognitive symptoms, impact quality of life and recovery. It is not known if neighborhood-level measures of socioeconomic status (SES) influence LCAS. This study assessed associations between SES measures, including neighborhood income inequality (Gini) and area deprivation index (ADI), and cognitive symptoms after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in a hospital leveraging active surveillance of LCAS. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 512 patients hospitalized with AIS at Tufts Medical Center with subsequent follow-up (between zero and three months or between three and twelve months) in the Stroke Clinic from 1/1/2018 - 12/31/2022. Using ZIP code data, patients were characterized as low Gini (low inequality) and high ADI (high deprivation) (Gini <= 0.4302, ADI >= 5) by state medians. These variables were combined, indicating patients who were living in both a low Gini and high ADI neighborhood to evaluate the effects of living in a homogeneously deprived area. There were 206 and 281 patients in the low Gini and high ADI groups respectively. 140 patients lived in a low Gini and high ADI neighborhood. The multivariable logistic analysis assessed the likelihood of cognitive symptoms, adjusting for age, race, ethnicity, sex, NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS), thrombolysis, active LCAS surveillance, poverty, and ADI-Gini combination. Results: There were no associations between high ADI (OR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.67 ? 1.57) or low Gini (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 0.98 ? 3.07) alone and cognitive symptoms after AIS. However, the combined variable demonstrated increased likelihood of cognitive symptoms in the high ADI-low Gini group (OR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.08 ? 3.06). Conclusions: This study suggests that individuals living in homogeneously deprived neighborhoods report higher likelihood of cognitive symptoms after AIS. Further studies with increased power are needed to investigate the underlying causes of these disparities and to develop interventions to reduce these complications.

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Impact of Early Treatment on Symptom Improvement and Procedural Events among Men with BPH and Bothersome Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms: A Contemporary Analysis of the American Urological Association Quality (AQUA) Registry

Ernandez, J.; Najafi, A.; Roehrborn, C. G.; Lerner, L. B.

2026-06-10 urology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355194 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: As the armamentarium of BPH therapies continues to expand, it remains imperative to maximize patient satisfaction and minimize decisional regret. We sought to determine the impact of time from BPH diagnosis to index treatment on symptom improvement and subsequent procedural events. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We queried the American Urological Association Quality Registry for men [&ge;] 40 years old with BPH, available IPSS data, and no receipt of prior BPH treatment. Index treatment included medication, surgery, or minimally invasive surgical therapy (MIST). Outcomes included IPSS over 3 years of follow-up, change in percentage of mild lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) by 3 months, and time to procedural event. Patients were stratified by time from index diagnosis to treatment by <12 months, 1-3 years, and >3 years. Outcomes were compared across time-to-treatment cohorts with appropriate statistical tests with p < 0.05 as significant. RESULTS: 43,919 patients met criteria with 19,642 pursuing treatments. Patients pursued treatment at comparably lower baseline IPSS compared to prior prospective series. Patients undergoing surgery and MIST had significantly higher baseline IPSS, while medical comorbidities were significantly more common among men initiating pharmacotherapy. Early surgery and MIST were associated with significant improvement in IPSS within 6-12 months and an increase in mild LUTS by 3 months. All forms of early treatment were associated with delayed time to procedural events, including catheterization and fulguration. CONCLUSIONS: Early procedural intervention for BPH is associated with early symptom improvement and delayed time to procedural events among real-world, contemporary practice.

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A wealth index based on two-component polychoric principal component analysis reduces urban bias and improves socioeconomic classification in low- and middle-income country surveys: a validation study using LSMS surveys

Vidaletti, L. P.; Dos Santos, A. M.; Hellwig, F.; Barros, A. J. D.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354245 medRxiv
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Background: The traditional wealth index, based on principal component analysis (PCA), used in the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), suffers from urban bias, distorting estimates of health inequality. We compared the traditional index (PEAR1) with an alternative two-component polychoric PCA index (POLY2) using annual expenditure from 12 LSMS surveys as the gold standard to determine which provides more accurate SEP measures for equitable policy targeting. Methods: We compared the traditional wealth index (PEAR1) with a two-component polychoric PCA approach (POLY2) using 12 LSMS (Living Standards Measurement Study) surveys (2015-2022) from 12 African countries. Annual household consumption expenditure was the gold standard. We assessed agreement using weighted Cohen's kappa and validated against education (proportion of households with secondary or higher education) using the concentration index (CIX) and slope index of inequality (SII). Results: The POLY2 index showed higher agreement with expenditure quintiles (average national weighted kappa = 43.3%) than the PEAR1 index (35.1%), with notable improvements in urban (43.5% vs. 27.5%) and rural (35.3% vs. 22.4%) areas. POLY2 also attenuated extreme household distributions observed in PEAR1. Education validation showed that POLY2 produced intermediate inequality gradients between the flatter expenditure-based gradient and the steeper PEAR1-based gradient. Conclusion: The POLY2 wealth index is superior to the traditional index, reducing urban-rural bias and providing more accurate socioeconomic classifications. Its adoption in large-scale surveys such as DHS and MICS is recommended to improve equitable monitoring of health inequalities in low- and middle-income countries.

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Perceived Social Support and Self-Efficacy as Mediators Between Health Literacy and Quality of Life Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults with Hypertension: A Cross-Sectional Study in Six Central Provinces of China

Zhao, Y.; Yun, Y.; Bai, T.; Xiong, L.; Ruan, Y.; Zhao, H.; Wang, W.; Wang, F.

2026-06-08 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355051 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: The onset of hypertension occurs at a younger age in China, and the relationship between health literacy and quality of life among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients remains unclear. This study explored whether perceived social support and self-efficacy mediate the association between health literacy and quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. Methods: A questionnaire was administered to 1,015 middle-aged and older hypertensive adults from communities in six central provinces of China. The EQ-5D scale, Perceived Social Support (PSS) scale, Self-Efficacy Scale (SES), and Health Literacy Scale (HLS) were used to assess quality of life, social support, self-efficacy, and health literacy, respectively. Mplus 8.3 software was used to construct a structural equation model for path analysis. Results: The mean PSS, SES, HLS, EQ-5D, and EQ-VAS scores were 15.57{+/-}3.45, 10.61{+/-}2.41, 9.49{+/-}2.86, 0.88{+/-}0.18, and 71.06{+/-}17.49, respectively. Health literacy and quality of life scores significantly differed among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients, and both showed positive correlations with perceived social support and self-efficacy (both P<0.001). Perceived social support and self-efficacy exhibited a chain mediated effect on the relationship between health literacy and quality of life (EQ-5D utility index and EQ-VAS), accounting for 28.57% of the total effect of the EQ-5D utility index and 27.26% of that of the EQ-VAS. This study is the first to elucidate the mechanism by which health literacy influences quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients through the chain-mediated effect of perceived social support and self-efficacy. Conclusion : Health literacy is significantly correlated with quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. This correlation can directly or indirectly explain the impact on quality of life through mediating pathways involving perceived social support and self-efficacy. Keywords: hypertensive patients, perceived social support, self-efficacy, health literacy, quality of life, mediating effect

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Gendered pathways to adolescent mental health: An empirical assessment of a new conceptual framework

Alaze, A.; Hagen, D.; Schamberger, T.; Razum, O.; Miani, C.

2026-06-10 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355310 medRxiv
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Introduction Gender norms and roles are important determinants of physical and mental health in the key period of adolescence. Yet, the gendered pathways to mental health in adolescents are not fully understood. Using a conceptual framework for global adolescent mental health that we developed based on a Delphi process, we empirically investigated the associations between six gender-related constructs and adolescent mental health. Methods We used cross-sectional Gender and Adolescence: Global Evidence (GAGE) data from Ethiopia (2020) to explore the associations between sex, gender norms, psychological competencies, gender attitudes, gender roles, with the latter two also serving as mediators, and psychological distress (GHQ-12), using Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). Results The SEM model contained measurements from 1,584 adolescents, including 843 girls and 741 boys, with a median age of 13 years. Out of 14 pathways tested, we found statistically significant associations between psychological competencies and psychological distress; sex and gender attitudes; and between gender norms and psychological competencies, gender attitudes, and gender roles. Hence, the gender-related constructs were mostly associated with each other, rather than with psychological distress. Conclusion The gender-related constructs are strongly interrelated, thereby attenuating their individual effects on psychological distress. The interplay of gender-related constructs should be considered when developing interventions to promote mental health in adolescents.

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Knowledge, attitudes and practices regarding risk factors for cardiovascular disease among women in an urban slum of Kathmandu, Nepal: A cross-sectional study.

Kasaju, M.; Shrestha, A. P.; Oli, N.; Vaidya, A.

2026-06-08 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354909 medRxiv
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Introduction: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause for death and disability worldwide accounting for 75% of deaths in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) like Nepal. Urbanization and globalization remains the major cause of rise in CVDs among urban poor population along with growth in slum settlements. This study aims to assess the knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) of CVDs and its risk factors among women of one such urban poor community in Nepal. Methodology: This cross-sectional study (n=388) in the Sinamangal-Minbhawan slum area was conducted using semi structured questionnaire based on STEPs survey and HARDIC study among the participants selected through convenient sampling. Descriptive analysis was done using SPSS version 21 and KAP scores were further categorized based on median score to perform multivariate logistic analysis. Additionally, Anthropometric and blood pressure measurements were also recorded and analyzed. Results: The median age (Interquartile range) of participants was 33 years (17) with majority of them being Dalit by ethnicity, housewives, with up to primary level education belonging to upper lower socioeconomic class. More than half (53.3%) of the participants were obese and over 23% were hypertensive. While half of the hypertensive women were aware of their status, only 3% had their blood pressure under control.The median knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) scores were 12, 60 and 10 respectively. The KAP scores were positively associated with socioeconomic status of the participants. Conclusion: The study revealed low knowledge with high prevalence of behavioral risk factors of CVDs along with high prevalence of other metabolic risk factors like high body mass index, high waist hip ratio and hypertension among women of slum area with a positive attitude to prevent CVDs and its risk factors.

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Alcohol Consumption Patterns and Sociodemographic Correlates Among US Adults with Cardiovascular Disease: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of All of Us and NHANES

yang, q.; yu, j.; zhao, h.; zou, m.; sun, y.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355052 medRxiv
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This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the prevalence of alcohol use and its sociodemographic correlates among adults with cardiovascular disease (CVD). We analyzed data from two large US cohorts: the All of Us Research Program (2017-2023) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2016). Both CVD diagnosis and past-year alcohol consumption were self-reported. Risky drinking was defined as exceeding moderate drinking or binge drinking (All of Us), or moderate/heavy drinking (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression was used to exam associations with sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Among 32,788 current drinkers with CVD in the All of Us cohort, 15% exceeded moderate drinking thresholds and 26% reported binge drinking. Older age, female sex, and higher socioeconomic status were inversely associated with risky drinking, while smoking was positively associated. In NHANES, moderate drinking rose from 47.3% to 57.2% and heavy drinking from 6.7% to 7.2%. Moderate/heavy drinking was positively associated with age <65 but inversely with age [&ge;]65. Higher education and income were linked to moderate drinking, while current smoking was strongly associated with heavy drinking. These results highlight the need to integrate holistic screening for alcohol use, tobacco use, and social context into routine cardiovascular care.

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Bias from small-count suppression in county-level cancer disparity estimates: a calibrated simulation study

gahan, k.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355021 medRxiv
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Abstract Background. Area-level cancer disparities are routinely estimated from public county data in which rates based on small counts (fewer than 16 cases or deaths) are suppressed. Analysts typically drop suppressed counties (complete-case analysis). Because suppression depends on case counts tied to population size and demographic composition, this missingness may be informative, but its effect on the disparity estimate has not, to our knowledge, been quantified. Methods. In a cross-sectional ecological study of 3,143 U.S. counties (analytic sample 3,018 with computable exposure) using one frozen public release of NCI State Cancer Profiles incidence and mortality data and ACS 2018-2022 5-year data, we estimated the most- versus least-deprived ICE(race+income) quintile rate ratio (RR) and rate difference for female breast, stomach, and cervix cancers under four suppression-handling methods: complete-case, available-case, bounding, and model-based small-area estimation. We characterized which counties were erased, and, following the ADEMP framework, ran a Monte Carlo simulation (1,000 replicates per cell; Monte Carlo standard error of bias approximately 0.0025) calibrated to the release to measure bias against a known truth. Analyses were pre-registered. Results. The suppressed fraction rose with rarity: 7.4% of counties for breast, 61.3% for stomach, and 75.7% for cervix incidence. Suppression was concentrated in the most-deprived quintile (cervix, 81.8% suppressed vs 63.8% least-deprived) and overwhelmingly removed rural rather than minority residents (cervix: 81% of the rural but 9% of the minority population erased). For breast (little suppression) the RR was 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.89) and identical across methods; for cervix incidence the complete-case RR (1.56) exceeded the model-based estimate (1.50), and for cervix mortality (91% suppressed) complete-case (1.86) exceeded model-based (1.56) by 16% with a wide bounding interval (1.88-2.62). In calibrated simulation, population-weighted complete-case bias was small (less than 2%) at the observed deprivation-county-size correlation and grew with rarity, threshold, and unweighted aggregation; its direction was conditional, becoming positive (over-estimation) as deprived counties became smaller. Conclusions. Complete-case handling of suppressed counties over-estimates rare-cancer area disparities relative to methods that retain them, while silently erasing most of the rural and most-deprived communities the estimate is meant to represent. The effect is negligible for common cancers and grows with rarity. Public-data disparity analyses should report the suppressed fraction and use bounded or model-based estimates by default. Keywords: cancer disparities; small-count suppression; Index of Concentration at the Extremes; informative missingness; small-area estimation; rural health.

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Exploring emergency department attendance patterns during the UEFA European Football Championship 2024 in Germany

Charfeddine, N.; Schranz, M.; Schlump, C.; Rupprecht, M.; Ullrich, A.; Diercke, M.; AKTIN Research Group, ; Estupinan Mendez, J.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355151 medRxiv
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Background: Mass gathering events (MGEs) are associated with several public health challenges and may cause a strain on healthcare services. Literature findings on the impact of MGEs on emergency departments (EDs) are heterogeneous. Objectives: To examine shifts in ED attendance characteristics during a major sporting tournament, namely the UEFA European Football Championship 2024 held in Germany. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study using ED data from the Emergency Department Data Registry. We compared baseline ED attendance characteristics between the tournament and the reference period, defined as two weeks before and two weeks after the tournament, and between Germany game days and non-Germany game days. Hourly attendance patterns were analysed for all Germany games using a reference range. Results: We included data from 41 EDs, totalling 253,493 attendances during the study period. A 1.57% increase in attendance was observed during the tournament compared to the reference period, with baseline characteristics remaining similar. The median daily attendance within all EDs was slightly lower on Germany game days (4066) compared to non-Germany game days (4128). Modest changes were observed in the hourly attendance on Germany game days, most notable during the last Germany game where a decrease in attendance below the reference range extended over three hours. Conclusions: The observed shifts in ED attendance were minimal, suggesting that no major changes of public health relevance occurred in ED attendance during the tournament. We highlight the utility of using ED data for monitoring and for enhancing the understanding of the public health risks and challenges associated with MGEs.